The WSJ has it wrong, we are under no pressure to make a deal with China, they are under pressure to make a deal with us. If we meet, we meet?

The Wall Street Journal has it wrong, we are under no pressure to make a deal with China, they are under pressure to make a deal with us. Our markets are surging, theirs are collapsing. We will soon be taking in Billions in Tariffs & making products at home. If we meet, we meet? – President Donald Trump

China welcomes U.S. invitation for trade talks

hina’s Foreign Ministry said on Thursday that the government has received an invitation from the United States for trade talks, and welcomes it.  Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang made the comments at a daily news briefing in Beijing. The White House’s top economic adviser said on Wednesday the Trump administration has invited Chinese officials to restart trade talks. Read More @

Europe Starting To Reckon Eurodollar Curve

We’ve been here before. Economists and central bankers become giddy about the prospects for success, meaning actual recovery. For that to happen, reflation must first attain enough momentum. If it does, as is always forecast, reflation becomes recovery. The world then moves off this darkening path toward the unknown crazy.

The problem has been that officials mistake reflation for what it is. Each time they believe it is the only requirement. If the economy reaches reflation, policymakers seem to think, then it is only a matter of time before complete recovery. It’s this false impression that leaves us with “unexpected” downturns, as well as no serious investigation into the lack of recovery.

Reflation, relatively speaking, is easy. The eurodollar world at the end of its downswing cycle stops being such a negative force. For whatever reasons, liquidations, optimism, whatever, global banks cease withdrawing capacity. A few then offer a little expansion followed by others so long as no reversal (downside risk) appears imminent. The natural inclination is in the direction of reflation. Read more @


The USD took a plunge yesterday after the CPI Data and also the China – US trade issues. The USD will continue to go under pressure to $93. We should see more volatility next week Thursday as the FOMC releases their Monetary policies and Minutes.


  1. 6.30am – NZD will go to action with Manufacturing Index – little or no movement is expected.
  2. 10.00am – China will release Fixed Assets Investments, Industrial Production, Retail sales and Unemployment Rate – we are expecting the data to be little or no change. We SELL USDCNH.
  3. 5.00pm – Euro will release their Trade Balance – expected to be good.
  4. 6.00pm – GBP will be volatile as Marl Carney (BOE GOVERNOR) Speaks. We remain cautious over GBP.
  5. 8.30pm – US will release Core Retail sales and Import Prices – Little or no change. We maintain SELL for USD.
  6. 10.00pm – US will release Business Inventories & UoM Inflation Expectation – no change is expected.

The market should end with little or no movement today as all traders await next week FOMC.

High Risk Investment Warning:

Please note that Forex and other leveraged trading involves significant risk of loss, It is not suitable for all traders and you should make sure you understand the risks involved, it is recommended that you seek an independent advice, if necessary.


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