Was that a stock-market crash? Do the math, and check the yield curve

if you want to figure out whether the stock market is crashing or just correcting, you need to be more than just a math whiz. You also have to know a little about interest rates and the economy, and have a little experience.

One of the defining characteristics of past market crashes, like those in 2000 and 2008, and let’s not forget 1987 for the old timers, was that everyone knew they were crashes. You didn’t need to figure out the percentage decline from a high, or check the latest economic reports for signs of a recession or runaway inflation, or scan the charts for breaks of key trend lines or moving averages — people just knew. Read More @ https://www.marketwatch.com/story/was-that-a-stock-market-crash-do-the-math-and-check-the-yield-curve-2018-02-06?siteid=rss&rss=1

Why the Dow Jones Industrial Average has suddenly become a hot mess

A Prolonged period of market calm has come to an abrupt halt on Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +2.33% and the S&P 500 index SPX, +1.74%slipped below their short-term trading averages and went negative for the year, relinquishing gains of more than 5% in January in a span of a few days. The Dow registered its worst point implosion in a single session in its more than 120-year history, warranting mainstream media attention. See also: What now? How to make sense of the stock market’s wild ride

What happened? After all, stocks had been winning so fast and so furiously in recent sessions it felt as though they might never return to Earth. Although there is no specific reason for the sudden downturn and what appears to be a resurgence of choppy trade, market participants have cited a few factors that they say have contributed to this new regime. Here are a few: Read More @ https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-stock-market-has-suddenly-become-a-hot-mess-2018-02-06?siteid=rss&rss=1



  1. 8.00am – Japan released their average earnings and is all good – JPY stabilises – more SELL ahead for USDJPY.
  2. 3.00pm – German Industrial Productions m/m – we believe is going to be good and our view EURUSD no change  – we maintain BUY.
  3. 5.00pm – Italian Retails sales m/m expected to be good and we expect no much volatility expected.
  4. 9.30pm – FOMC dudley will speak – this could be good for USD; be cautious.
  5. 11.30pm – Crude Oil Inventories – we expect in favor for Oil as the inventory is expected to be low.
  6. Be cautious as the DOW is volatile and the market could go into a real crash and affect your portfolio.

High Risk Investment Warning:

Please note that Forex and other leveraged trading involves significant risk of loss, It is not suitable for all traders and you should make sure you understand the risks involved, it is recommended that you seek an independent advice, if necessary

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