Fed expected to hike rates twice more this year and then risk a ‘policy mistake’: CNBC survey

Why a Fed rate hike is unlikely to reignite the dollar rally

Investors are wondering whether a highly anticipated rate increase by the Federal Reserve this week will reignite a dollar rally. Some analysts are skeptical that fully anticipated monetary tightening will do the trick.

“The dollar has been weakening since mid-August and the rate hikes for this week and December are pretty fully priced in. Even for 2019 expectations are partly baked in,” said Eric Theoret, FX strategist at Scotiabank. Read More @ https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-fed-rate-hike-is-unlikely-to-reignite-the-dollar-rally-2018-09-24?siteid=rss&rss=1

Bank of England can unwind QE without hurting economy: Vlieghe

The Bank of England can reverse its huge bond-buying stimulus program without sharply pushing up long-term interest rates and hurting the economy, as long it explains the plan properly and moves only gradually, a top BoE policymaker said on Tuesday. Read More @ https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-boe-vlieghe/bank-of-england-can-unwind-qe-without-hurting-economy-vlieghe-idUSKCN1M5126

WHAT IS THE USD INDEX SAYING?

The price can go either way but downside is more likely then the upside. As Strong USD will not be good for US and the economy moving forward. This day reminds us of 2002 market. Be cautious tonight as we can expect huge volatility. Be sure you have good money management in place at all times.

TODAYS NEWS THAT MIGHT AFFECT YOUR TECHNICAL TRADES.

  1. 9.00am – New Zealand will release their Business confidence – price should favor NZD.
  2. 1.00pm – BOJ will release their Core CPI – we expect the data to favor JPY.
  3. 4.30pm – High Street Lending – We little or no movement for GBP.
  4. 10.00pm – New homes sales and Crude oil inventories data will be realised in US – we expect both data no change. Expect little or no movement.

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING.

  1. 2.00am – FOMC Economic projections and FOMC Statement and the Federal Fund Rate will be released – we believe USD is already priced in – we are projecting for the USD to go south today if there is a rate hike.
  2. 2.30am – Market volatility will start when Jerome Powell goes to press conference – market is expecting a dovish statement rather then a hawkish statement from the FED CHAIRMAN.

Be reminded the market will be volatile and ensure you have good money management in place at all times.

High Risk Investment Warning:

Please note that Forex and other leveraged trading involves significant risk of loss, It is not suitable for all traders and you should make sure you understand the risks involved, it is recommended that you seek an independent advice, if necessary.

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